la Nina rears her ugly head

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Jan 04 2019 9:23am

Glad I got in a few good bike rides over the holidays. Forecast is showing chances for rain every day for the next week and a warning for high wind.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 06 2019 1:30am

Here's the radar view of the main frontal band as it spproaches. Already many news shots of funnel clouds and waterspouts. Four to six inches of snow is exoected in the mountains above 4500 feet.
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes
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amberwolf   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by amberwolf » Jan 06 2019 2:10am

Been raining here (sprinkles to drizzles) for at least the last couple of hours or more (not sure when it started, but the puppies woke me up when they stuck their wet faces in mine to let me know).

Looks like it may go on much of the night, and possibly into tomorrow morning at least.

Glad to have the water...but it's cold, and this kind of weather makes me hurt worse than just about any other. :/

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.p ... 1&loop=yes

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 06 2019 5:08am

La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
**************************************************************** :)
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 06 2019 8:36am

La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
************************************************************************************************************ :evil:
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 06 2019 11:42am

SDHET HEMET VALLE VISTA 0.71 2050
:mrgreen:
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
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Hebrews 9:27

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Jan 06 2019 10:29pm

It was too dark to see the rain gauge well when I ran past it, but it's something over 4.5" since Friday. Most of it was today. The ground is definitely saturated now and the runoff is increasing. And some serious wind too. Rain was coming down in sheets sort of sideways. At least my car got washed off nicely.

More coming this week but smaller systems. Trail riding is going to be messy for a while.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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amberwolf   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by amberwolf » Jan 06 2019 10:35pm

I'd guess we got at least half an inch since I posted last above, but I think the rain is all done for now (might get more next weekend).

Pumped several thousand gallons out of the street-corner lake into the front yard in various places, though.

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 09 2019 3:33am

Forecast map of predicted rain totals.
Attachments
0CB3846E-62E3-4A3F-BE47-377408A8709A.png
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
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Hebrews 9:27

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tomjasz   1.21 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by tomjasz » Jan 09 2019 4:00am

-10C, predicted to be well about freezing next week. No snow...
Thanks Justin_le we're here thanks to you. All the best to the mods for their tireless work keeping it on an even keel.

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Jan 09 2019 8:48am

Surf's up! 20'+ waves and high wind.
Wave Height.JPG
Wave Height.JPG (54.05 KiB) Viewed 78 times

Picked up another 1.3" of rain here overnight.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 12 2019 1:45am

Tonight
Showers, mainly after 4am. Low around 43. Light east wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday
Showers, mainly before 4pm. High near 55. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. East wind around 5 mph.
Monday
A chance of rain after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59.
Tuesday Night
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Wednesday
Rain likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 61.
Wednesday Night
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Thursday
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59.
Thursday Night
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 12 2019 8:50am

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/pacsouthwest_loop.php
The first of a series of storms to hit SoCali thus week.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OedY2xTGm ... e=youtu.be

La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
****************************************************************************** :)
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 12 2019 3:54pm

SDHET HEMET VALLE VISTA 0.18 2050
:)
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Jan 12 2019 4:43pm

0.6” here yesterday and more coming next week.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Jan 14 2019 11:17am

Since the rain evaporated on Sunday, I went for a ride in the mud. I love the fat bike for these conditions. I found that if I keep the speed down to about 5-6 mph, the mud sort of falls off the tire without plastering the bike and my back side. I could see tracks make by the lycra guys and their little pizza cutter tires. They really sink into the squishy stuff, where the fat tires just float right over and hardly leave an impression.

The rain we were supposed to get last night veered off to the south and should be hitting The fingers about now. But we will soon get our first Atmospheric River (Pineapple Express) event of the season on Wednesday.
Some scattered showers will continue today into tonight. Gusty
southeast to east winds will persist near the coast and coastal
hills with gusts to 35 mph likely at times as low pressure deepens
off the coast. Scattered showers will continue overnight into
Tuesday.

Periods of light rain continue on Tuesday but with minimal impacts
expected. A strong front arrives Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday night. Heavy rain will develop across the North Bay
first and then spread southward, wreaking havoc on the Wednesday
afternoon/evening commute. Strong winds will accompany the
frontal passage which could bring down trees and branches. The
heavy rain will likely lead to urban and small stream flooding as
the front moves through Wednesday night. On average 3-6 inches of
rain will be possible in the hills with 1-3 inches in the lower
elevations by Thursday morning with much of the rain falling
during a short window late Wednesday as the front moves through.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 14 2019 6:30pm

La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
************************************************************ :)
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 14 2019 7:15pm

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/h5-loop-ft.html
First wave moves through as the next is poised to strike. :twisted:
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 15 2019 12:07am

SDHET HEMET VALLE VISTA 0.12 2050
:)
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 15 2019 7:10pm

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=lHmtzKRrS ... e=youtu.be

SDHET HEMET VALLE VISTA 0.22 2050
:)

Right now there’s a cell moving NW from San Clemente Island aiming for us. Update:over Winchester ten miles from here. :twisted:
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?pro ... X&loop=yes
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 15 2019 8:34pm

La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
********************************************************************************** :D
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Jan 16 2019 1:29am

SDHET HEMET VALLE VISTA 0.58 2050
:mrgreen:
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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