la Nina rears her ugly head

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 16 2019 6:12pm

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 16 2019 7:03pm

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/h5-loop-ft.html

Dry cold front approaches the Left Coast, expected to drop temperatures by 10 degrees F over the next 24 hours; to be followed by another wind and Red Flag fire weather event. :twisted:
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 17 2019 9:36pm

Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 19 2019 1:37pm

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sgx/event/dsstable.php
Looks like a week of the weather that SoCali is famous for. :D
Detailed Forecast
Today
Sunny, with a high near 83. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
Clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 57. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 60.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 94.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 58.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 91.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 59.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 91.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 60. Breezy.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 90. Breezy.
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 20 2019 10:14pm

Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 23 2019 8:45pm

Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Oct 23 2019 9:29pm

Red flag alert here now. Power utility is talking about turning off the power again. Last time I was spared. This time there seems to be even less wind, at least here.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 24 2019 1:14am

According to the interactive map, the power outage is one block south of here. :|
https://abc7.com/weather/socal-edison-p ... p/5641990/
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Oct 24 2019 9:44am

Too late here, something already caught fire:
Big enough to be obvious on the visible satellite image. That's a bad sign. Hope the wind is blowing away from me.
Sonoma fire satellite.JPG
Sonoma fire satellite.JPG (30.36 KiB) Viewed 2764 times
I doubt it was from the wind as there really isn't any around here.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 24 2019 12:27pm

Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Monday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

That’s October for you; 90’s one day, 70’s the next.
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Oct 24 2019 2:03pm

NWS forecast 10-24.JPG
NWS forecast 10-24.JPG (31.13 KiB) Viewed 2753 times
Now there's smoke in the forecast. Time to stock up on N-95 masks again. :flame:
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 24 2019 6:42pm

Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Oct 24 2019 11:09pm

Oh great, now the power utility is saying they may turn off the power in my area Saturday. At the same time, the wind is going to shift and bring all the smoke from the fire up north my way. Time to charge up all the bike batteries.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 25 2019 1:14am

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=aTRDXVcyB ... e=youtu.be
:flame: :shock: :twisted:

Very little wind here but extremely dry.
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Oct 25 2019 8:55am

It's shaping up to be pretty bad around here. They are predicting up to 90mph wind gusts on Sunday.
This is a map of potential power shutdowns in the next 36 hours:
Outage Map 10-25-19.JPG
Outage Map 10-25-19.JPG (63.22 KiB) Viewed 2730 times
I am in one of the orange areas just north of SF. I guess if the power gets turned off I can just drive to San Francisco and hang out at work where the power will not be affected.
PG&E said Thursday it didn't deenergize a 230,000-volt transmission line near Geyserville that it said malfunctioned minutes before the fire erupted.

The company filed a report with the state utilities commission saying it found a "broken jumper" wire on a transmission tower around 9:20 p.m. Wednesday.

PG&E CEO Bill Johnson said it was too soon to know if the faulty equipment started the fire. He said the tower had been inspected four times in the past two years and appeared to have been in "excellent condition."

Meanwhile, PG&E warned that an even larger power outage may occur as early as Saturday and could affect portions of 33 counties in the San Francisco Bay Area, wine country and Sierra foothills.

Forecasts for Saturday into Monday showed possible wind gusts of 40 to 60 mph in most elevated areas of Northern California, and as high as 75 mph on some peaks.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 27 2019 8:52pm

Windy and cooler weather today, should have mowed the lawn but wasn’t motivated. It’s still green but not growing as much. Rather watch the World Series even though in the playoffs LA “Lost Again”. :roll:
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 28 2019 1:59am

NOAA says:
To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to: ncep.list.enso-update@noaa.gov.
Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 28 2019 12:23pm

Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Oct 29 2019 8:08am

Well, they cut of the power in my area for 48 hours. At least this time it was actually windy. The communication infrastructure completely failed after about 4 hours. No cable TV, no internet, no landline phone and no cell phone reception. Eventually I found if I drove a few miles over to near the Marin Civic Center, I could get enough signal to make a phone call. I'm pretty pissed that the cable company and the cell phone providers don't have decent backup power, as it left someone in my area completely cut off.

While the stuff in the refrigerator was melting, at least I could watch TV using one of my bike batteries, a 48v inverter, and an amplified antenna.
Img_1389.jpg
Img_1389.jpg (82.9 KiB) Viewed 2674 times
This setup was awesome and the "ammo can" battery lasted for about 10 hours of TV watching. According to the TK-15 coulometer, the TV was drawing about 110W, which worked out to 2.1A on the 52v pack. The pack finally hit cutoff just before they restored power. I have 3 more packs from other bikes that I would have used next.

Since my Sur-ron battery is 60v, which is a bit too high for the inverter, I pointed the bike at the kitchen window and aimed the headlight up so it shined on the ceiling and turned on the bike. Nice bright light that could run for weeks.

I also made use of some solar garden lights I normally have in the yard. I hung one over the kitchen table and it was great. Next morning I put it back out in the yard to get recharged.
Img_1392.jpg
Img_1392.jpg (58.72 KiB) Viewed 2674 times
As soon as the power came back on, I put the bike pack back on the charger. About an hour later PG&E sent a notification that the power may go out again, so want to get that baby juiced up again.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

2old   100 kW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by 2old » Oct 29 2019 9:24am

What a nightmare for you "north" individuals; fortunately, no problems in my area of socal. Are generators out of the question for you?

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Oct 29 2019 9:31am

2old wrote:
Oct 29 2019 9:24am
What a nightmare for you "north" individuals; fortunately, no problems in my area of socal. Are generators out of the question for you?

I'm seriously considering a generator at this point. I wish there was a way to use my Toyota Prius as a generator.
Solar panels and a big battery would be more fun and a lot quieter, but way more expensive. Right now, finding a generator is nearly impossible as everywhere is sold out. I'll have to wait until the rainy season to go shopping.

While we are on fire here, other family members in Utah and Idaho are getting near zero cold temps. Crazy weather...
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by amberwolf » Oct 29 2019 11:19pm

If you have Amazon Prime, they have some (not cheap) you can get fast. I only did a search for "3kw generator", but I'm sure there's more depending on the power you need.

https://www.amazon.com/s?k=3kw+generato ... _nr_p_85_1



FWIW, we're getting some of that wind here tonight. Winds up to 30mph with 39mph gusts detected at "official" weather stations.

It's enough that Yogi was (still is) not very interested in going out for potties, until he just couldn't hold it anymore a few minutes ago and insisted it was finally time to go out. ;) He's been hiding in the bedroom here with me and Kirin all night as I try to rest, rather than sprawling in the kitchen or against the front door like usual.

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Oct 30 2019 8:09am

Well, they finally turned the power back on. Hopefully that's the last of it for this year.
Yes, there are all kind of generators for sale online, but everything local is sold out. Meanwhile I have my bike packs charged up again.

One interesting thing was when all the power was out, I could see the stars at night much better than normal without all the light pollution. I could clearly see the milky way, which never happens normally unless you get really far away from the city.
"One test is worth a thousand opinions"

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by nicobie » Oct 30 2019 2:03pm

While PG&E hasn't cut our power yet (Lompoc,CA), I'm ready with a 12V 2kW inverter that I'll use with my Volt's battery. I've got a full tank of gas in it so should be able to keep my food cold for a week or so.

We have 13 solar panels on our roof, but seeing as how they are tied into the grid they won't do us any good with the power off. I'd love to find a way that they could keep the volt's batteries charged when the power goes out. Then I could be totally independent of the grid in outages. I thought of using my bike battery with a small 120V inverter to back feed the panels in order to energize the solar inverter but have been advised that it wouldn't work.
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Oct 30 2019 3:40pm

Black Schwinn High Sierra
Blue Schwinn Cruiser 5
Blue Schwinn High Plains
Black Fiore Cruzer 5: Amped Warp Drive 26" Front DD/SLA kit
http://ghostbikes.org/
http://www.rideofsilence.org/main.php
Hebrews 9:27

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