la Nina rears her ugly head

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Aug 18 2018 12:26am

Still not a drop here since May. We could really use a little rain.
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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Aug 18 2018 11:25am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-ft.html

Big storm in the N Pacific along with a hurricane nearing Hawaii. Wax up!
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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Aug 23 2018 7:21pm

Return to low 90s, warm but not too hot. :pancake:
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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Aug 28 2018 3:49pm

https://www.surfline.com/surf-news/el-n ... tain/28254
Get ready to change the title again. :wink:
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Aug 30 2018 10:10am

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
Atlantic rather quiet, Pacific a different story.
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Aug 30 2018 11:25pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/h5-loop-ft.html
Left to right: Miriam, Norman, and yet un-named 80% chance of another one forming off of mainland Mexico. :twisted:
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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Aug 31 2018 8:00am

It's pretty unusual to see two so closely spaced. Somebody could get a double or triple whammy.

I'd be happy if one went north a bit and spun off some moisture. Not a drop here since May, and strangely below normal temps for the past month. I guess I shouldn't complain when it's too hot everywhere else, but I sort of miss summer.
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 02 2018 8:25am

https://www.weather.gov/sgx/
August Climo Summary :twisted:
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 04 2018 2:18pm

It's been just nice in the low 90s, but expected to warm up by the weekend. :oops:


Today
Sunny, with a high near 92. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 64. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 90. Light southwest wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 94. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 66.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 99.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 69.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 100.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 67.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 98.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 97.
Last edited by The fingers on Sep 07 2018 8:10pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 07 2018 8:05pm

Forecast high of 105°f tomorrow, cooler next week. :oops:
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 08 2018 12:19pm

The Atlantic hurricane season is finally heating up, trying to catch up with the rather steamy Central and Eastern North Pacific.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ :twisted:
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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Sep 08 2018 10:24pm

I'm still waiting for the first drop of rain since May. Things are really dried out and not surprising there are so many fires. This summer has been unusually cool compared to normal. Not complaining, but I think there was only one or two days where it reached 90F.
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society
9 August 2018

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch

Synopsis: There is ~60% chance of El Niño in the Northern Hemisphere fall 2018 (September-November), increasing to ~70% during winter 2018-19.
So....
Do we have to go back to the "El Nino" thread?
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 16 2018 8:37am

Today
Sunny, with a high near 93. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Clear, with a low around 59. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 92. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 92.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 58.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 90.


Fall weather has arrived, that means leaves will soon be filling the lawn. :x
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 25 2018 9:53pm

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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Sep 26 2018 7:58am

The first slight chance of showers in my forecast since last spring.

Also:
The extended forecast is quite interesting. Will be watching
Tropical Storm Rosa which is currently getting itself organized
way down in the tropics west of Central America. Latest forecasts
bring the feature northward to west of Baja California as a
hurricane by later Sunday/Monday. Meanwhile a longwave trough will
be developing off the California coast. Models are struggling
with the interaction of this trough and the tropical system
forecast to approach northern Baja. We`ve seen some pretty drastic
run to run variations for the last few days and the euro/gfs are
at odds with each other. There are scenarios where the mid-latitude
trough by-passes us and moves onshore over Socal while interacting
with Rosa while other scenarios suggest the potential for some
early season soaking rains over Norcal by early next week.
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 27 2018 1:52am

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/SST/PAC/20.jpg

Not yet an El Niño, but could change at any time. :twisted:
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 27 2018 4:53am

Monday
Partly sunny, with a high near 85.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 81.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 27 2018 7:29pm

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 27 2018 9:19pm

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... e#contents

We might be getting some rain from this one. We really need it with nothing all summer. Everything is dusty and dirty. :x
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fechter   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by fechter » Sep 28 2018 7:48am

Hurricanes in Arizona?
Rosa.jpg
Rosa.jpg (93.74 KiB) Viewed 481 times
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 28 2018 12:42pm

https://www.weather.gov/sgx/
Forecast: Rainfall amounts of up to 4” in AZ.
Only 1/4” to 1/2” here though, could be more or less with the center of the tropical system passing around 200 miles from here.
Phoenix directly in the path. :shock:
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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 28 2018 7:00pm

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The fingers   100 GW

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 28 2018 9:44pm

Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by amberwolf » Sep 28 2018 10:10pm

Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 101. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 78. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 97. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. North northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 74. Breezy, with an east wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Breezy, with a south southwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South wind around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Thursday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 68. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming north northwest around 5 mph in the morning.

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Re: la Nina rears her ugly head

Post by The fingers » Sep 29 2018 3:26pm

C04DBE89-A11E-40F8-A28D-BF48A88051E2.png
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