Looking at the history of EVs in the late 1800s and early 1900s, it looks like we are going to repeat the same cycle in similar ways.
Its the exact same thing 100 years ago now when Lead-acid battery EVs owned the car market but as the industry grew it just couldn't keep up despite the industry having well-organized battery swap programs etc.
Electric cars owned it all and have the records for the first cars to break 100KMph/60mph https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_Jamais_Contente
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_o ... Golden_age
Considering the price of core Tesla cell metals this might be as cheap as it ever gets. You can't get any cheaper then 40,000 African kids digging up cobalt etc.
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/201 ... batteries/
Here is the chart of Cobalt which is crucial for decent performance and lifetime out of lithium cells, the Lithium metals chart looks pretty much exactly the same btw.
The things that are different this time around is peoples standards on whats acceptable for a "renewable" world, no one cares its African kids that help make it all possible as long as this "clean energy" is powered by the brute fear of increasing carbon dioxide levels makes it all OK.
Our latest mining technologies should propel us for a further amount of time along the line of metal based battery fuels this time around but I doubt it will kill oil which will remain cheap and plentiful for a long time, and who knows maybe folks will catch onto the idea that carbon dioxide helps plants grow and is in fact as "renewable" as it gets https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2qVNK6zFgE
, while metals just like the lead-acid days of EVs past do nothing good at all in the long term for the environment https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... ng/462576/
At least for our local governments they look at all the latest facebook renewable energy memes claims and believe it just as much as anyone. Such as claiming your going to be able to charge your near 1MWh (800KWh) Tesla semi truck from your home roof etc https://www.wired.com/2017/04/tesla-electric-truck/
http://www.news.com.au/finance/business ... 324dcf294e
I think as long as we have sold our electricity grids to hedge funds and shut down our cheap coal mines so that its all locked in and based on oil imports which is where the heaviest money investment has been placed over the last decade then they got us right where they wanted us.