Arlo1 wrote: ↑
Jul 06, 2018 3:23 pm
Hillhater wrote: ↑
Jul 05, 2018 7:33 pm
Why did they make so FEW M3s in Q2 ?... It should have been closer to 40,000 than the 28500 actual.
From musks own prediction they planned to make 20,000 in june alone !
Lets start with this.
He Claimed they would be at 5000/ week by end of June.
To prove he did that they made 7000 for the last week to show all 3 models being produced simultaneously.
As for producing so Few in Q2 that is because they needed for 1 to ramp up and 2 to shut down the lines a couple times to be able to make them work faster.
Your argument is not Valid. What would be a valid arqument is if they don't produce many cars in Q3 and that would prove the numbers were a burst number
Obviously it was a "burst" number and not a "run rate" ! ..do some simple maths .
As i pointed out.. If they had been at a run rate of 2000 as he claimed at end Q1, and ramped steadily up to 5000 by end Q2 (13 weeks) ..they should have produced 45,000 units..less a few days out , so say lose 5,000.. They still should have been near 40,000 for the Qtr
Why didnt they ?..
1)..because the Q1 2000 figure was not a run rate ,..it was also a "burst", one off, number .which they could not sustain week on week at that time.
2) the 5000/week figure at end Q2 was also a one off "burst" number, the week before probably well below even 4000 ! (Even Musk only claimed 3500 in early june..and that was also likely a "good week")
If is really a 5000/week "run rate", reaching 6000 by month end as he says, then thro' July they should output 22,000+ units..but they will not release production numbers. Will they ?
So what do you think they will produce in Q3 .... as they have to declare that figure. ?
I assume you heard they skipped doing the rolling road , brake tests , on those M3 cars last week of the quarter,..
...as well as the 300 odd spot welds they decided were not needed .
Makes you wonder what other shortcuts they took , that we have not heard about yet, to make the number in time ?