la Nina rears her ugly head

Another 0.25" last night. There is another chance this weekend. If this keeps up, the fire danger will be pretty bad later in the season.
 
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers. Patchy fog. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
:roll:
 
Coming down here now. Forecast is for about 1/2" by tomorrow, then it sort of dries out.

Here's how it looked yesterday. About 70F and sunny.

Img_0725A.jpg
 
We did get a lot of teh wind they promised, some of it quite high, but none of it reached 40 that I was in--some of it enough to affect the trikes performance but none of it bad enough ot make it tippy even in gusts suddenly appearing as passing thru intersections or passing gaps between sets of buildings. Fair bit of dust and allergens in the air, though.

Did keep the city air somewhat clear of the usual car/traffic pollutants though, so it was easier to breathe even with the dust/etc.

Mostly died down today, though, so temps went up and breathability went back down.

Expected to stay breezy next couple days with maybe 25mph gusts, with significant temperature drops, and then die down a couple days, then get breezy/gusty again a couple more days, then calm back down (and temps go back up) just as my week off starts.
 
Monday Night
A slight chance of showers before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. West wind 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Back again. Whaaaaat? The Wonky Weather Service waffles the rain chances back into the forecast for tomorrow night. :p
 
0.25" here and unusually cold. A chance for more Wednesday night, then it should go back to sunny and near normal temps.
 
Snow today, and 50plus tomorrow, nuts!
 
Our chance last night evaporated before it hit the ground, so zero in the rain gauge. Back to sunny, warm weather, which I am ready for.
 
La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
*********************************** :|
Just some brief mist, nothing measurable.
 
Thursdaynny, with a high near 86. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 85. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 77.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 75.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

Another Wonky Weather Service evaporating rsin chance. :roll:
 
Sounds like La Nina is over and it's back to neutral conditions

Most models in the IRI/CPC plume predict La Niña will decay and return to ENSO-neutral during the current March-May season [Fig. 6]. The forecaster consensus similarly favors a transition to neutral, with a continuation of ENSO-neutral conditions through the summer 2018. Thereafter, there is considerable forecast uncertainty, in part due to the lower prediction skill for forecasts made at this time of year. In summary, La Niña is expected to transition to ENSO-neutral during April-May, with ENSO-neutral then likely (greater than 50% chance) to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2018
 
Apparently neutral means summer, here. Almost broke 100F today, was only a degree less yesterday.

Of course, it has to be the hottest week of the year (with almost no breeze at all) so far during my week off, when I need to work outside on yard and ebike stuff. :/

Its about ten degrees hotter than normal.

At least I have the trees for shade, and a DIY awning under a couple of those to further shade, but still allow the extremely slight occasional breeze we sort of got now and then.
 
Long Range Outlook for next week: The model spread is quite large next week which makes it difficult to pinpoint which days will have the best chance for showers. The GFS advertises a deep cold upper low stalling over the Southwest Monday-Wednesday, while the ECMWF delays this upper low until Wednesday and Thursday. This uncertainty is too large to introduce rain chances at this time. :roll:

Well it looks like cooler temps for the weekend, good gardening weather. :mrgreen:

As for the comeback kid:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/climatic-phenomena-pages/enso/
 
Monday Night
A slight chance of showers after 11pm. Increasing clouds, with a low around 48.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

:roll:
 
There are small chances for light precipitation west of the mountains early Monday and slightly greater chances for light precipitation along and west of the mountains for Tuesday into early Wednesday.

As of now the chance of measurable rain is at 20%.
 
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