la Nina rears her ugly head

Forecast Discussion page says it’s moving up from the south, odd for this time of year.
Popular parade might get soggy flowers on TV.

“Take in those clear blue skies today because you may not be seeing
them much this week...! An area of low pressure approximately
1,000 miles southwest of San Diego will begin to move northward
Monday evening into Tuesday. Subtropical moisture associated with
this system in the form of mid/high-level clouds will begin to
overspread the area during this time. The temperature forecast
will be a bit trickier with this as extensive cloud cover may
limit peak daytime heating on Tuesday, though still fairly
confident in seeing highs in the 70s west of the mountains and in
the lower deserts late Tuesday morning/afternoon with the day
being mainly dry.

As the system moves further north on Wednesday, chances for
mainly light showers will increase throughout the day. Around New
Year`s Eve, chances for measurable rainfall increase near 60-80%
along and west of the mountains to near 40-60% across the desert
regions. There continues to be low confidence on exact rain
amounts but there is increasing confidence the heaviest rain will
fall sometime late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Global
models are beginning to agree on shower chances lowering by late
Thursday into Friday as the system passes to the east and another
low pressure system delays off the coast. NBM chances for precip
are near 50% at this time but would not be surprised if these
lower some in the coming days` forecast as some areas may see very
little to no rain during this time. The details about the low
pressure system off the coast by late week still remain uncertain.
Models show a fairly northerly track with this feature, so
chances for the heaviest rainfall will be closer to the LA Basin
by late Friday or Saturday.”

Watching the drama unfold here in the satellite view:
 

Detailed Forecast​

This Afternoon
Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
A slight chance of sprinkles before 10pm, then a chance of showers after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday
Showers likely, mainly after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Showers. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 51. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
New Year's Day
Showers, mainly before 4pm. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 62. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday
A slight chance of showers after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Monday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
 
La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
*********************************************************************************************************:)
 
0.55” as of 7:00pm, a pretty good start to a week long rain event.
:mrgreen:
And another 0.09” tonight for a daily total of 0.64”.
Yay!
An additional 0.23” in the wee hours brings the storm total up to 0.87. Still light rain falling.
:)
Adding 0.27” for a storm total of 1.10” here as of 10:am.
:mrgreen:
Managed to eek out another 0.38” today for a storm total of 1.48”.
 
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4.8" here since Christmas eve. A few heavy downpours, but mostly steady light rain that never stops. There was a little break yesterday morning that gave me enough time to take down the outdoor Christmas lights. Lots of wind, so the yard is a mess.
 
Got a total of 0.12” tonight by 10:00pm.
La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
***************************************************************************:)
 
Rain tapered off after we got 0.29” overnight from the first wave bringing the 24 hour total to 0.41”.
Edit:
Another 0.20” fell this evening from the second wave bringing the storm total to 0.61”.
Edit:
0.47” overnight gives us a final storm total of 1.08”.
:mrgreen:
 
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A genuine Pineapple Express where the atmospheric river extends across the Pacific Ocean from Hawaii to Canada.
Unfortunately for us it’s expected to ride up and over and not reach Southern California at all.
F4E89520-A261-41E9-8484-CD726BFE93BC.png
 
Currently a wimpy system moves ashore with a stronger looking one NW of the Hawaiian Island Chain which could go either way.
Only a 20-30% chance of measurable rain. Right now partly cloudy and cooler temperatures seems to be all we’ve got.
 
La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
************************************************:)
As of noon the gage shows nothing measurable. Very little in the surrounding area and nothing on the mountain.
So I am calling it an albino skunk, for lack of a better term.
At least we’re not covered in ice at <zero degrees Fahrenheit like much of the rest of the country.
 
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