I re-read this entire thread thru the day, and took notes.
I tracked down the provenance of multiple no-load RPM figures.
731rpm
This one sources from LeafBike's product description on their bare motor page. It is apparently TOTALLY ERRONEOUS. This figure was erroneously taken by LeafBike from their own 1000W motor graph (wrong motor!), which wrong graph is also on that page (no wonder). This 731rpm figure has been the source of a lot of misunderstanding, confusion, and rationalization in this and other threads. Even Neptronix assumed they just used a higher voltage during a test to get this number. But if you look at the 1000W graph (link further down), you will see it.
632rpm
This was an actual measurement taken by Neptronix at 48V with a confirmed 16*4-Turn motor.
"About 630rpm"
This is supposedly what LeafBike claimed was the no-load RPM of the default 4-turn motor in a private email to ebikeaddict in March 2015. It is unclear if they're just repeating Neptronix's measurement someone may have sent them.
Source: post on page 6, 2015 March 21: http://endless-sphere.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=30&t=66489&start=125#p1046427
602rpm
This is the no-load rpm found in the PROPER, 1500W motor graph, at 48V, assumably of the same 4-turn motor. I cannot explain the disparity, especially in light of LeafBike's own email quote to ebikeaddict above. We'd obviously trust Nep's experience more.
Source: http://www.leafbike.com/u_file/images/15_01_05/0a32577ead.jpg
"About 520rpm"
Estimate of the 13*5-Turn motor, provided by LeafBike to ebikeaddict. Source: same post as above.
Ebikeaddict, could you please post LeafBike's email verbatim?
TeslaNV, could you please do likewise?
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The bare motor page for 1500W STILL has the incorrect graph and erroneous "731" RPM right in the product details. This is really bad, especially considering Neptronix's nastygram to them, and their commitment to correct it.
http://www.leafbike.com/products/e-bike-hub-motor/gearless-20-24-26-700c-28-inch/newest-48v-1500w-rear-spoke-hub-motor-electric-bike-motor-998.html
Their "kit" page for 1500W has the correct graph. Notice how there is no mention of 731 RPM. In fact, there is no mention of any RPM!
http://www.leafbike.com/products/diy-bike-conversion-kit/26-inch-electric-hub-motor-kit/newest-26-inch-48v-1500w-rear-hub-motor-bike-conversion-kit-987.html
I hope that clears things up, and absolves me of Neptronix's "what's a leafmotor?" dig.
Surprised no one has commented about their theoretically impossible 'made to order' no-load RPM. So 2 people here (ebikeaddict and teslanv) managed to get them to talk about winding numbers. Not sure if it's secrecy or ignorance at leafbike (they claimed secrecy to TeslaNV, but I just do not get that!). I suppose my tactic will be to play "no more mister nice-guy" and get them to fwd the questions to the factory.
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Extrapolation time.
630 to 520, gaining a turn to 5.
520 is .825 of 630.
520 * .825 = 429 extrapolated RPM for 6-Turn.
429 * .825 = 353 extrapolated RPM for 7-Turn.
So, to put this in a list:
520rpm for 5-Turn (LeafBike estimate)
429rpm for 6-Turn (my extrapolation)
353rpm for 7-Turn (less-reliable extrapolation)
Comparing to CrossBreak's own extrapolations, based on Neptronix's 632 measurement:
506rpm for 5-Turn
421rpm for 6-Turn
361rpm for 7-Turn
You can see, the numbers are surprisingly similar.
CrossBreak-if you read this-I'm not a motor expert, could someone please describe how he was able to figure this back then?
Nep also estimated or guesstimated that the 5-Turn would produce 500-500rpm under no-load.
IMO we shouldn't have to go through these hystrionics, while LeafBike plays coy.
The numbers become even more strikingly similar with speed estimates. I estimated for 29-inch because that's what I have. (To change for yours, change the wheel circumference in the formula below.)
29-inch (91-inch circumference) no-load + estimated loaded speed [from crossbreak's estimations]:
361rpm x 60 = 21660 x 91" = 1971060 / 63,360 = 31.1mph x80% = 24.9mph
421rpm x 60 = 25260 x 91" = 2298660 / 63,360 = 36.3mph x80% = 29.0mph
506rpm x 60 = 30360 x 91" = 2762760 / 63,360 = 43.6mph x80% = 34.8mph
632rpm x 60 = 37920 x 91" = 3450720 / 63,360 = 54.4mph x80% = 43.5mph
New extrapolated no-load estimates for 29-inch wheel [from Leafbike's 630 and 520rpm figures]:
353rpm x 60 = 21180 x 91" = 1922730 / 63,360 = 30.4mph x80% = 24.3mph
429rpm x 60 = 25740 x 91" = 2342340 / 63,360 = 57.0mph x80% = 29.6mph
520rpm x 60 = 31200 x 91" = 2839200 / 63,360 = 44.8mph x80% = 35.8mph
630rpm x 60 = 37800 x 91" = 3439800 / 63,360 = 54.3mph x80% = 43.4mph
Very consistent outcomes.
Am I wrong to think that real-life estimates for low-rpm motors may be a little faster than 80%, due to more torque, and less wind resistance?
Merging & simplifying the 2 outcomes (real-world estimate [80% of no-load] for 29-inch wheel):
7-Turn: 24mph
6-Turn: 29mph
5-Turn: 35mph
4-Turn: 43mph
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Per Neps' guess that the 1500W 5T would probably be similar to a MAC 8T, and since the MAC is a baseline many of us are familiar with, I couldn't help but wonder about my further speculation:
4-Turn: Similar to MAC 6T?
5-Turn: Similar to MAC 8T?
6-Turn: Similar to MAC 10T?
7-Turn: Similar to MAC 12T?
By "similar", I mean 'roughly analagous'--not in terms of exact performance, but more in terms of "if you're the kind of person who would buy this MAC version, you'd likely be in the market for this version of the 1500W".
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Members known to have purchased the 1500W:
[Updated: thanks to mchlpeel]
Neptronix (16*4T, 632rpm no-load @48V)
FluxShifter (13*5T, 435rpm no-load @48V)
Dmwahl (13*5T)
Kodin (13*5T)
Burtie
Flipsx3
The latter 3, please post any measurements, or even any anecdotes, whatever you can give us, when you get them! I forgot to write down which version was bought, if it was said (I think Kodin got 5T). Kodin's controller should be arriving in several days.
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"Digital laser tachometers":
Could someone tell me if this is the kind of thing yous were recommending as available on Ebay "for about 10 dollars". The cheapest of these kinds, by my search, began about $11.41 from overseas.
http://www.ebay.com/itm/USA-Digital-Photo-Laser-Tachometer-Non-Contact-Tach-RPM-Tester/201333601318