la Nina rears her ugly head

Tuesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 108. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%. :roll:
 
La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
************************************************************************** :mrgreen:
A ciuple of thunderclaps followed by a shower. :twisted:
 
La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
**************************************************************************************************************** :twisted:
Heavy rain, wind gusts to 20mph, 1/8" to 3/8" sized hail for around 30 minutes. :twisted:
 
12 HOUR PRECIPITATION TOTALS AS OF 501 PM TUESDAY

.TOP RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM ALL ZONES...

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEVATION(FT)

1. HEMET VALLE VISTA 1.55 2050
2. MANZANITA FLATS 1.17 3920
3. RUNNING SPRINGS FS 0.67 6076
4. POPPET FLAT RAWS 0.51 3830
5. RUNNING SPRINGS 0.43 6255
6. BIG PINE FLAT RAWS 0.40 6908
7. POTRERO CANYON 0.20 2220
THOMAS MOUNTAIN 0.20 6815
9. CRANSTON RAWS 0.19 1950
10. HEAPS PEAK RAWS 0.16 6350
Top of the heap with 1.55”. Could even get more. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
 
I could use some of that up here. We had thunder and lightning, but practically no rain. All it did was start about 20 fires so now I'm choking on the smoke. It's pretty thick around San Francisco. At least my mask can provide dual function now.

On the satellite image, all the black spots are the fires.

shorwave IR 08-19-20.JPG
 
Detailed Forecast
Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny early, then becoming sunny, with a high near 105. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Still a chance today for some more. :)

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

Today through Friday...
High pressure over the southwest states will gradually weaken and
shift its position. The center of the high pressure will move
southward into Arizona with a large trough of low pressure to the
northwest over the northeast Pacific, and Hurricane Genevieve to
the south off the coast of southern Baja.

Very hot daytime temperatures will continue through Thursday
except for the coast and the higher elevations in the mountains,
although today and Thursday will not be quite as hot as yesterday
west of the mountains. Temperatures will continue to be 10-15
degrees above seasonal averages and daily records will likely be
broken.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected once again today, mainly
for the mountains and high desert areas, with initial development
in the higher mountains in the late morning. The sea breeze
convergence boundary will be farther inland in the Riverside and
San Diego County mountains, to the east of the ridge tops versus
closer to the coastal foothills as was the case yesterday. This
will reduce chances for thunderstorms developing in the mountains
to move into adjacent portions of the inland valleys.

Rainfall yesterday near storm cores ranged from around one half
inch to around 1.35 inch. Storm movement will continue to be a
limiting factor for greater rainfall totals, but brief heavy
downpours are expected with isolated flash flooding possible.
Lightning, strong gusty winds and small hail are likely to
accompany storms.

Coverage of thunderstorms is expected to be much less on Thursday
afternoon and mainly along the east slopes of the mountains,
possibly into the San Diego County deserts and the Coachella
Valley. Thunderstorms are expected in similar areas for Friday
afternoon, but possibly with slightly greater coverage.

Patchy low clouds and fog over the coastal waters and along some
beaches will continue, mainly during the nights and mornings due
to the presence of a very shallow marine layer.

Saturday through Tuesday...
Some influx of moisture from the south is expected for Friday
into the weekend with high temperatures falling below 110 over the
weekend for the lower deserts. Most areas will be not quite as
hot for the weekend into early next week, but with high
temperatures remaining 5-10 degrees above seasonal averages in
some areas. A slight chance of thunderstorms may continue each
afternoon, mainly for the mountains into the high desert.

&&
 
You can see all the brown smoke in the visible satellite. SF was horrible this morning. Right now my place is between the plumes so not bad, but a slight shift in wind direction is going to send it my way. The smoke is going all the way to Idaho.

Visible satellite 08-19-20.JPG
 
Detailed Forecast
Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 103. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 97. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
 
Tropical moisture from hurricane Genevieve is blowing up this way and might trigger more thunderstorms. Rain we could use, but not more lightning :bolt:

I was pretty lucky today as the wind was taking the smoke away from me. I was right on the edge of the plume for a while. Just a slight wind direction change makes a world of difference in air quality. Most of the smoke is blowing up toward Idaho now.
 
La Niña Rain Gage
Nothin'/Skunked-Foggy Doggy-Play Misty-Drizzle Corn-Light Showers-Steady Soaker-Bands/Sheets-Cats & Dogs
* :twisted:

Overnight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
 
Detailed Forecast
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 101. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 102. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 101.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 72.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 101.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 69.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 98.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 67.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 94.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 94.
 
The smoke has been pretty bad lately. They have air quality sensors all over and I can look at the map and see where the smoke plume is going. Here's the graph from the sensor closest to my house, just a few blocks away:

AQI graph 8-28-20.JPG

Dang, I wish they could put those fires out.
 
I guess riding (maybe even going outside) is out of the question. How is the air quality inside your house?
 
Inside the house isn’t too bad as long as it isn’t windy. The wind blows smoke in though any leaks which there are plenty of.

When the sensors are showing red or worse you really don’t want to even go outside.

It sucks when it’s hot and cools off at night but I can’t open the windows.
 
Detailed Forecast
Today
Sunny, with a high near 97. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
Clear, with a low around 63. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 96. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 97.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 98.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 67.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 99.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 69.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 102.
 
Detailed Forecast
Today
Sunny, with a high near 101. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
Clear, with a low around 69. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 105. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 111. Light northeast wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 77.
Sunday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 112.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 75.
Labor Day
Sunny, with a high near 107.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 69.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 102.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 67.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 98.
:oops:
 
"Only" 106F forecast here for the weekend. At least the wind direction has been favorable for today and the smoke is blowing toward San Francisco. My daughter's place near LA is forecast to get up to 111F both Saturday and Sunday.

Time to get my emergency power battery charged up! I predict rolling blackouts again.
 
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