The 15% Unemployment Bet

Will Unemployment Exceed 15% By 2010?

  • I'm with Safe on this one. (<15%)

    Votes: 5 31.3%
  • Safe knows nothing... he's wrong as always and I bet against him. (>15%)

    Votes: 11 68.8%

  • Total voters
    16
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February unemployment numbers update:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090306/ap_on_bi_go_ec_fi/economy
 
I Googled and found that during the Great Depression, at its height, between 12 and 15 million people were unemployed. According to Reuters, there were 12.5 million unemployed in February 2009. :shock: The percentage of the workforce may be smaller, but the numbers are not.

It's going to get ugly....
 
EMF said:
I Googled and found that during the Great Depression, at its height, between 12 and 15 million people were unemployed. According to Reuters, there were 12.5 million unemployed in February 2009. :shock: The percentage of the workforce may be smaller, but the numbers are not.

It's going to get ugly....

Assuming the same definition of "unemployed", I would find that reassuring! You know how much less people there were back in 1934? Here's an idea...

View attachment WorldPopulation.jpg
 
Yes, good point, but I am still worried about this cycle of unemployment leading to lost sales which leads to more unemployment. We are no longer a nation of rural farmers. Back in the 30's a lot of folks did not even have running water or electricity. It is different now and we are very dependent upon working for an employer in order to survive. Look at big cities like Manhattan. They cannot burn wood to stay warm or tote water from a well.

There is also a great dependency of people upon the government now and this costs money from taxes. With the combination of home foreclosures, home prices falling and unemployment, tax revenues are falling. For a decade, wages have fallen, resulting in a loss of revenue for the government. We are fighting 2 wars and could easily get sucked into another with Mexico. We are now a debtor nation and owe billions to other countries. We cannot produce enough energy to run our country without importing oil. we are in a very perilous position at the moment.

We pay out about 50 cents already for every dollar we earn, to support government. What happens when we can no longer feed the beast?
 
Jobless rate soars to 8.5 percent in March
Unemployment rate highest since late 1983; 663,000 jobs lost
Source: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/30027181

The nation's unemployment rate jumped to 8.5 percent in March, the highest since late 1983, as a wide swath of employers eliminated 663,000 jobs. It's fresh evidence of the toll the recession has inflicted on America's workers, and economists say there's no relief in sight.

If part-time and discouraged workers are factored in, the unemployment rate would have been 15.6 percent in March, the highest on records dating to 1994, according to Labor Department data released Friday.

The average work week in March dropped to 33.2 hours, a new record low.

The numbers game "Official" U3 unemployment @ 8.5% and Actual U6- U6 indicates 15.6% are now unemployed...If we take out the "seasonal adjustment" we are at 16.2% for March! All these figures come from the Labor Department. What a joke.

http://www.tcdailyplanet.net/article/2009/04/03/unemployment-85-or-156.html
 
John Williams, "Shadow Stats" shows the actual unemployment rate at 19.6%. This is based on how the rate was computed pre - Reagan. Today's govt figures are total BS.

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