LockH
1 PW
"Peak Oil: Myth Or Coming Reality?"
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/peak-oil-myth-coming-reality-221331835.html
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/peak-oil-myth-coming-reality-221331835.html
Pairs to my understanding of likely future scenarios on the basis of well documented trend lines. David Korten called it the "perfect storm", pointing to the triple emerging crises: energy, climate & financial. Guy McPherson calls his web site "Nature Bats Last" for a reason. We mere mortals still can not fool Mother Nature. Bill McKibben titled his seminal book "The End of Nature", meaning the Nature upon which life depends on Planet Eaarth. But Nature is Biology, chemistry, physics and a whole lot more. There are physical laws that can not be violated without upsetting an equilibrium and throwing a system into a different steady-state.Gloop said:Anyway over the next 2-3 decades I expect oil production to decrease dramatically, however I also expect abrupt global warming to take place because of methane hydrates. Together these two shocks will precipitate the collapse of global agriculture and consequently the end of civilization.
Less than 4, but the numbers are not published because the data is controlled.megacycle said:What is the latest EROI on extracting oil from wells and tar sand, real terms, not the phony documents produced by vested interests....
arkmundi said:The question everyone who cares needs to be asking is what state and will that allow for a continued mammalian presence? Maybe the new genetics can fashion some new advanced human-like life form that has a chance of withstanding >6-degrees-C average surface temperatures. Our present biology will not survive. I'd be OK if its merely a loss of so-called civilization and a paring down of human population to the 1-2 billion of us suggested as possibly sustainable on a depleted planet. But the loss of all intelligent life because of the collapse of the biosphere - that is... well, there is no word for it. The Anthropocene will certainly suck and the era will end quickly as the anthro in it disappears. Maybe then there will be some subsequent era, like the Rodentiacene?