Luke, don't just believe... because I don't either. My advantage, or delusion as time will finally tell, is that I was blessed to be around a German principal investigator that I knew was rigorous, disciplined, slow to draw conclusions, etc. One day he came into my office and said, Dave you need to come to the lab and look at this. He was loading and unloading hydrogen and then deuterium into a bulk palladium. When he loaded hydrogen into the platinum it was exothermic, unloaded the hydrogen it was endothermic. When he loaded the deuterium it was exothermic, when he unloaded it, well it was also exothermic. One of his presentations is out in the public domain at this link
http://www.22passi.it/downloads/IPP-Palladium-Fralick-1.pdf Here is the sonoluminescence presentation also in the public domain
http://www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/sensors/PhySen/docs/AIAA5596_JPC07.pdf
But then another day they sent me an string of emails about how the automatic camera caught "something" really strange and intriguing over the weekend in the flask as it was in long run duration mode. They said they thought they may have found the "source" of the excess energy in the flask... hope you enjoy the chuckle:
Hence my belief, "Something is going on." I don't have a clue what it is. Many people smarter than I have spent the last 20 years since Pons and Fleischmann trying to prove it, disprove it, replicate it, etc. None could explain it without 2 or 3 "miracles" happening. Miracles just don't happen in my experience. Then came the Widom Larson theory that I referenced a few posts above. It is the FIRST theory that ties the pieces together. Is it, "IT?" I don't know, but what I do know is, "it IS closer than we were before!"
Time will tell what is encoded into the nature around us. One of the key features that I have pondered is the fact that this "stuff" does not produce the radiation signature that conventional reactions would emit. So the d+ d+ to He4 and a 24 MeV Gamma, is NOT what is going on in my opinion. Widom Larson explains the potential chain of events with near 0 momenta neutrons. We do know the capture cross section scales as 1/velocity so near zero velocity (below thermalized neutrons) there should be a huge cross section for capture.
Once I opined, with no real technical basis for it (other than there is a lot of hot nickel and iron there) that wouldn't it be "funny" if this reaction is what is going on in the core of the earth to keep it warm? Lots of controlled heat, but no radiation to cook us organic life forms... Lots of things to ponder in my ol' age...