Joshua Goldberg
100 W
Lets try this, you already have your Lifepo4 packs and chargers and you are waiting for them to self destruct and I think that is admirable that you are willing to do this for the good of everyone.
Not sure why you'd want to add the Lifepo4 from Electricrider unless you want to try every Lifepo4 from every company, again admirable if this is the plan
Lets try this. Prediction time. I Predict that by the Summer of 2008 every Chinese Lifepo4 manufacturer of Sub 25Ah Cells will be on the skids as sales in North America vanish. Not slow down but go Kaput as in Nuthin will be exported to North America in the Sub 25Ah size.
Pretty profound Prediction don't you think
There will be some amazing sales by May 01 as companies try to unload what they have before the bottom falls out and some of these battery packs might actually last a year or two so good hunting for those who are into risking it.
Will not tell you how I know this, kinda spoils the fun. But like you I have been wrong in the past, but in my case it happens very very seldom
The Chinese are making their profits on the smaller Sub 25Ah Packs, if everyone stops buying them then they move onto making electric toothbrushes or farm equipment and whatever Warranty you have or need for replacement cells goes out the window.
Since I don't want to see anyone lose their money and Lifepo4 ain't cheap, then my advice (based on my Prediction) is don't buy any Lifepo4 till at least May 2008 and if you really feel the need to be a Guinea Pig and can afford it, then sure go buy all you want now.
You could also look at this avoidance period as time to let the Chinese figure out what they are doing wrong and maybe by May they will have stopped screwing up and will have a Lifepo4 worth buying---don't hold your breath on that happening though
As for NDA's and such, I cannot tell you what I hear coming from the factories. I'd like to really since some of it is funny as all hell. The people you and everyone here are dealing with are Vendors and Vendors will not have the slightest clue what is happening at the factory level and some who might know have a financial incentive to keep quiet about it.
And this has nothing to do with Don Harmon or LifeBatt, LifeBatt will weather this because they are involved already in large format cells and are using a U.S. Government testing lab unlike the Chinese who will not risk that.
Oh and I have absolutely nothing to be gained by any of this in case anyone wondered. Hell if I was in it to make some cash I'd be telling everyone to buy Lifepo4 and selling them myself with an amazing Warranty and promises up the wazoo
Not sure why you'd want to add the Lifepo4 from Electricrider unless you want to try every Lifepo4 from every company, again admirable if this is the plan
Lets try this. Prediction time. I Predict that by the Summer of 2008 every Chinese Lifepo4 manufacturer of Sub 25Ah Cells will be on the skids as sales in North America vanish. Not slow down but go Kaput as in Nuthin will be exported to North America in the Sub 25Ah size.
Pretty profound Prediction don't you think
There will be some amazing sales by May 01 as companies try to unload what they have before the bottom falls out and some of these battery packs might actually last a year or two so good hunting for those who are into risking it.
Will not tell you how I know this, kinda spoils the fun. But like you I have been wrong in the past, but in my case it happens very very seldom
The Chinese are making their profits on the smaller Sub 25Ah Packs, if everyone stops buying them then they move onto making electric toothbrushes or farm equipment and whatever Warranty you have or need for replacement cells goes out the window.
Since I don't want to see anyone lose their money and Lifepo4 ain't cheap, then my advice (based on my Prediction) is don't buy any Lifepo4 till at least May 2008 and if you really feel the need to be a Guinea Pig and can afford it, then sure go buy all you want now.
You could also look at this avoidance period as time to let the Chinese figure out what they are doing wrong and maybe by May they will have stopped screwing up and will have a Lifepo4 worth buying---don't hold your breath on that happening though
As for NDA's and such, I cannot tell you what I hear coming from the factories. I'd like to really since some of it is funny as all hell. The people you and everyone here are dealing with are Vendors and Vendors will not have the slightest clue what is happening at the factory level and some who might know have a financial incentive to keep quiet about it.
And this has nothing to do with Don Harmon or LifeBatt, LifeBatt will weather this because they are involved already in large format cells and are using a U.S. Government testing lab unlike the Chinese who will not risk that.
Oh and I have absolutely nothing to be gained by any of this in case anyone wondered. Hell if I was in it to make some cash I'd be telling everyone to buy Lifepo4 and selling them myself with an amazing Warranty and promises up the wazoo