gas price thread

speedmd said:
Another disruptor from geely based platform in the zeekr 001. China looks to be all in. delivering end of summer.

ZEEKR_001_324.jpg

China is so all in, it's crazy. I think they're going to be the first to get rid of gas engines.
A glance at the air on an average day in Beijing, China is powerful enough to understand a motivator that we don't have.
The truth is that the thing that gets things done is not money, technology, or power.. but motive.

Imagine seeing this on your bike ride every day. How depressing would this be?

beijing-air-pollution-bike-riders-1.12.13-by-@miniharm.jpg
 
neptronix said:
^-- that's bleepin' awesome. I want one now.

As a traveling IT guy, i've broken plenty of case pieces off Dell laptop cases thanks to hard cornering or braking. ( the 'company car' has a some suspension and brake mods, and it's hard to NOT hammer it around a turn )

These laptops tend to be awfully expensive though. Who's got the good value in durable laptops?
The cops, and they sell 'em off cheap :D They're the business, using a cf-30 atm and it's had several falls of vehicles and workbenches onto concrete floors, doesn't mind getting rained on much either. Had a cf-27 once, surprisingly good for an ancient P2 and it fell out of my backpack while filtering through traffic at about 40mph, turned back and saw it bouncing down the road before getting run over by a Clio. Pulled up, wandered back (it was logjamed), opened it up, hadn't bothered it one bit :)

Edit: fwiw, I got this one about 5 years ago from a laptop sales and repair place for about 350 euro with a fresh battery that's still going strong.
Another edit: If you get one, keep an eye out for the docking stations, there are a crapload of useful pinouts on the docking port. Not sure about more recent models but the cf-28 had printer, extra serial and usb, spi iirc plus a crapload of extra expansion on the cd caddy port, plus another internal port with space for mounting additional hardware (and 2 mini-ide slots, internal plus external cf card slots, pcmci... you get the picture).
 
I'm worried now about EVs, because Russia makes a quarter of all class 1 Nickel and our need for it just keeps increasing. Here's to hoping the Russian economy ends the Ukrainian invasion before their material losses do.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-can-hold-nickel-hostage-metals-mining-environment-china-class-domestic-electric-vehicles-11647287911?.tsrc=372

DogDipstick said:
... Military grade Panasonic computer.
Shit, a coworker of mine has one for sale. I might nab it from her then- I just remembered using them on ambulances, they ours kinda sucked.
I was originally meaning more consumer-grade (aka we openly admit it's lowest bidder) stuff :lol: , people are running ECUs off Raspberri Pi's and Arduinos now.

neptronix said:
These laptops tend to be awfully expensive though. Who's got the good value in durable laptops?
I've seen them on Govdeals, but you're problem will always be finding only a handful and not like, 12 at a time.

neptronix said:
China is so all in, it's crazy. I think they're going to be the first to get rid of gas engines.
A glance at the air on an average day in Beijing, China is powerful enough to understand a motivator that we don't have.
The truth is that the thing that gets things done is not money, technology, or power.. but motive.
Some areas in China are full dystopian tbh, they've even been using prisoners to pollinate flowers for years now.
The other driving force behind their mass electrification is their lack of petroleum reserves in the nation- they've got coal but practically no oil, which was the initial driving force for their use of electric cars (you can turn coal into gasoline via coal gassification, but it's low octane and pretty limited). It's why they were gung-ho on pipelines to the middle east and trying to access a new reserve in the bay between them and Japan.
 
Some areas in China are full dystopian tbh, they've even been using prisoners to pollinate flowers for years now.

Have you visited lately? Lots of folks claim stuff that is just not so which this looks to be having traveled a good part of the country a few years back. Certainly some pig pens remaining. Cooking and heating from open solid fuel fires has a big effect also. IMO, There is no going back to oils dominance in ground transport going forward. Its been on a steady decline for a few years now and with the turnover to new much better EV intro's, demand will continue to decline.
 
speedmd said:
........ China looks to be all in. delivering end of summer.
neptronix said:
China is so all in, it's crazy. I think they're going to be the first to get rid of gas engines.

Depends on your definition/expectations of “all in”..
Their target is for 40% of new car sales to be EVs by 2030..a government “directive” on the manufacturers
That would suggest EV sales of 12+ m from a total market of 30+m in 2030
12m , and 40% sounds good, .....but remember the other 60% will still be ice !
....and by 2030, there will likely be 300+m total cars in China , of which probably 50m total will be the cumulative EV sales...
....which implies just 17% of all cars in China will be EVs by 2030 !
That doesnt sound like a “all in”, game winning score to me !
 
Hillhater said:
...That doesnt sound like a “all in”, game winning score to me !

Yes, but who can really predict the future? :wink:
 
Sorry hill. touting a novel, year old academic article mainly sighting goal posts and ignoring what has actually transpired the last year is not cutting it when trying to realistically and currently gauge a disruptive trend. Things are moving much quicker than anyone was estimating that I recall. We should see march data shortly and have some additional data points from several markets that recently reporting near collapse of new ice demand.
 
neptronix said:
China is so all in, it's crazy. I think they're going to be the first to get rid of gas engines.
A glance at the air on an average day in Beijing, China is powerful enough to understand a motivator that we don't have.
I agree on the air quality. I haven't been there in about 5 years but the air in Dongguan and Shenzen last time I was there was nasty.

However there's a big difference between here and there - almost no one cares over there. An Olympics game? Sure, they will put in an effort so as to not look bad on the world stage. But after that? Why spend more money on coal smokestack scrubbers? Who benefits from that? The Chinese? Things that benefit the Chinese people have been pretty low on the list of their government's priorities for over 100 years now.
 
Hillhater said:
I will say it again.....
fuel/energy costs are a primary factor n the inflation of prices of most every item that we have to purchase to live normally.
So,incase you have not noticed, food, drink, even general services like the local plumber, will have o increase in price as a direct result of fuel costs. IE the everyday cost of living is increased !....
....just so you can live in your personal idea of “Green New Deal” ?
Yes, nothing matters compared to reducing the acceleration of climate change, literally the survival of our species is at stake.

Leave it in the Ground, quicker we get there the better, we do not have decades to futz around.

Our whole economic system needs fundamental overhaul, people come after the environment, they must thrive while drastically downsizing numbers and physical resource consumption not just eliminating growth.

The welfare of the corporations and top X% oligarchs, screw 'em.



 
Watch all the space programs possible and one thing they all mention is moving to hydrogen fuel. Some or most are thinking about building refueling stations in space. Most are moving in that area and should spill over to the general public as prices come down. Maybe one day they will quit pumping Natural Gas (Methane) and change over to Hydrogen. You can run your fuel cell making electricity, heat and top up the EV.
 
speedmd said:
Have you visited lately? Lots of folks claim stuff that is just not so which this looks to be having traveled a good part of the country a few years back. Certainly some pig pens remaining. Cooking and heating from open solid fuel fires has a big effect also. IMO, There is no going back to oils dominance in ground transport going forward. Its been on a steady decline for a few years now and with the turnover to new much better EV intro's, demand will continue to decline.
No but I have a friend in Shenzen whom corroborates or fills me in on a lot of stuff. Bad pollution, his arrest as a child for being related to "anti-government activity"... biggest thing for him now, is mostly their social problems and government debt.

ZeroEm said:
Watch all the space programs possible and one thing they all mention is moving to hydrogen fuel. Some or most are thinking about building refueling stations in space. Most are moving in that area and should spill over to the general public as prices come down. Maybe one day they will quit pumping Natural Gas (Methane) and change over to Hydrogen. You can run your fuel cell making electricity, heat and top up the EV.
Since the cheapest way to crack hydrogen is methane and it's always leaking out- coupled with H2 needing 15,000PSI connections in the Mirai- I'm not holding my breath for it. I don't think a "lifestyle" assessment of CO2 that building the cell itself has ever been done, but since solid-oxide fuel cells always die in 5-7 years I doubt its good.

The space refueling is for deep space probes like the James Webb telescope, to keep them in distant orbits in the L2 for decades of time. We'll probably see more probes shortly in that same region if we can easily refill their hydralazine.
 
If China is serious about affordable EVs, then they are eventually going to produce cars with aerodynamics like this:

https://autodesignmagazine.com/en/2020/01/gac-eno-146-designed-by-the-wind/

...and keep the size/mass down to something reasonable, like a 90s-era compact sedan.

That is how you keep battery costs down for a given amount of range. I think a $10,000 EV that can comfortably seat 5, accelerate like a typical ICE car, approach 150 miles range @ 70 mph, and top more than 90 mph is possible. And you could use a 15 kWh pack of cheap LiFePO4 batteries to do it. Or put a 3-cylinder ICE in the same car and get 80+ mpg.

CONSIDERABLE SHOUTING said:
This discussion is why i'm frustrated in the likes of Casey Putsch and his Omega Car, which he intentionally made to be as aerodynamic and as eco-friendly as possible. 100MPG diesel that out-accelerates a Viper, though I'm not sure if he ever provided hard numbers on it's Cd or weight, and has never shown how he made the body composite as far as I know. It's exists tho, and lots of what he's said is true:
[youtube]5EqLXt0qV-I[/youtube]

... based on public videos he's posted and members of the Genius Garage who work on it. But notice- I'm not sure if it has a frunk or much carrying space. Note how it has no seats either- where you sit is molded into the body and frame itself. That outer shell? In past videos are several inches think (!). It's super interesting and I hope if more people put fires under his feet he'll release actual plans for it- I'd buy em!- but lets not even try to debate that buyers everywhere would find it very strange. Hell, with that acceleration it would honestly be a detriment too, tons would drive it and find just how fast that makes you and have to ask themselves if they're responsible enough to accept that responsibility.

I've come across this car last year. It's a beauty. If he goes to offset seating like the VW XL1, he could reduce frontal area 10-15%. That front end probably is not doing any favors to its drag either. But compared to any car you can buy today, this thing is a slippery MF.

Mercedes demonstrated something with similar aero with the C111-III prototypes in the 1970s, as did Opel with its record setting GT streamliner getting close to 100 mpg on diesel. More recent cars like the Opel Eco Speedster(2002) and the VW Ecoracer(2005), have also demonstrated rapid acceleration combined with 3x or better fuel economy over today's sports cars.

The auto industry really doesn't care. The more cars we throw away and replace with new ones and the more petroleum we consume, the more profit their executives and the executives of tangentially associated industries(like oil, defense, ect) make. That lies at the heart of the problem. Planned obsolescence needs to be done away with if cars are to be at all environmentally sustainable in the future, or there will not be resources to have them at all for future generations.

A sort of dream vehicle I've been thinking about, is taking my Milan SL velomobile, and scaling it up into the form of an offset 2-seater sports car. The Milan has a Cd of 0.08, and a frontal area of 0.41 m^2. Scaling that up into a 4-wheeled sports car with exposed front wheels and enclosed rear wheels with a rear track narrower than the front, maybe 4.5-5" ground clearance, and designing it for the bare minimum downforce required to have stability at top speed via ground effects, might mean a Cd of ~0.15 and a frontal area of ~1.0 m^2. One could put a Hubmonster in each wheel, use a 20 kWh pack of Model 3 LiFePO4, run a lightweight ebike controller to each motor, and set the battery pack voltage and wheel size to allow a top speed of 160 mph or so. The entire vehicle as a monocoque with F1-style safety cell would probably weigh in around 900 lbs or so ready to drive, but with no passengers or luggage, and might be survivable in a crash at top speed. And it wouldn't pose much risk of burning your house down.

The results would be somewhere close to the following: such a thing would only need ~4 kW to hold 70 mph on the highway, and it would thus only consume 50-60 Wh/mile driven normally, giving a range well in excess of 300 miles. Peak power would be around 200 horsepower, but peak torque could be in the thousands of lb-ft, which would be monstrous in such a light car with AWD and no driveline losses. At top speed of 160 mph, it would only need ~40 kW to maintain speed once reached, so range would be around 80 miles at top speed and close to that when abused on a race track. 0-60 mph would be around 2.5 seconds, 0-120 mph around 6 seconds, with the acceleration rapidly tapering off after 120 mph. 1/4 mile drag races would be in the low 9s with a 140-ish trap speed. AND you'd have independent slip detection and torque management on each individual wheel, allowing a setting to where if the driver keeps the accelerator lightly pressed, the car could effortlessly hold a constant speed through a corner, allowing the maximum possible theoretical lateral grip for whatever tires are chosen, perhaps around 1.5G using skinny LRR tires. Unlike the typical electric car, it would be light and tossable through the twisties, instead of being too heavy to get out of its own way.

Replacing the unobtanium Hubmonster for a suitable Chinese microcar hub motor, all of the EV components could be bought off the shelf for less than $8k, probably cheaper if purchased in volume. If such a car were mass produced in a volume similar to a Mazda Miata, it could have a similar cost, and outperform cars costing 100x as much in everything but top speed.

THAT is the EV future I want to see. Once my friend and I get the Minion road-worthy, this is going to be our next project. Bonus: the above proposal may be possible with a 72V system, keeping costs down and enhancing safety.

JackFlorey said:
I agree. However, the average price of a new car is $47,000. That is no doubt in part due to people buying quarter million dollar supercars - but the average used car (where you typically do NOT see people buying supercars) is $29,000. And people are still buying them, given how low inventories are.

You can make the argument that they should not be that expensive, which would be a reasonable argument. But they are - and people are buying them at those prices.

Just because people are buying them doesn't mean they can afford them. It is not uncommon today to get 8-year loans on used cars. When there's no mass transit and you need to get to work and have other obligations(children are a major driving force in cars being all but mandatory in the U.S.), there's not much real choice in the matter. People will pay whatever they have to and sign the dotted line, to keep from losing everything from not being able to get to work. My personal experience is that no job I've ever had has been stable for at least that long, and that is probably true for most working people. The likilihood is high that said used car will require repairs during the life of the loan as well, which if the owner lives paycheck to paycheck, where will the money come from to service it? This is a bubble waiting to pop, like housing, and then all the Vanguards and Blackrocks are going to swoop in with all of that money printed out of thin air and handed to them and scoop everything up for pennies on the dollar while the auto industry and FIRE companies will get more taxpayer-funded bailouts, as has already happened repeatedly. Then we'll eventually all "own nothing and be happy" and have to rent everything we need from billionaires at grossly inflated costs with no hope of ever being able to buy anything outright as real wages decline.
 
The Toecutter said:
.
........
That is how you keep battery costs down for a given amount of range. I think a $10,000 EV that can comfortably seat 5, accelerate like a typical ICE car, approach 150 miles range @ 70 mph, and top more than 90 mph is possible. And you could use a 15 kWh pack of cheap LiFePO4 batteries to do it............
Have you checked the cost of LFP batteries lately ?
Plenty available commercially, but you will be pushed to find quality cells much under $500/kWh .
So there is 3/4 of you target price already.
And rolling at 70mph using just kW will be quite an achievement ...to say the least.!
 
Theres 2 sides to every coin, for example ive not seen batterys come down in price but go up for my tools from £50 to £65 along with all other material goods i guess we can all thank inflation for that.

Single cell price has dropped a little take inflation into account the cells are little cheaper in theory but the rest of the packs goods are more expensive from cell holders to nickel and the packs enclosure, plus this os the older stock thats been over supplyed so i bet prices will ammend when demand equals out.

Sad really the whole economy is rigged money printing to spend on crap literally just wiped out a generations chances of success and many more to come with the stupid ways its been spent, more i learn about the past more i see we are approaching a change in time and they rarely happen without massive cultural changes along with them.
 
Hillhater said:
Have you checked the cost of LFP batteries lately ?
Plenty available commercially, but you will be pushed to find quality cells much under $500/kWh .
So there is 3/4 of you target price already.

Buying in enough volume to mass produce a car would cut the price by half or more. Tesla is using LiFePO4 in its next Model 3 partially as a cost saving measure over the lithium-cobalt chemistries it has been using. I've read that they're targeting $200/kWh.

By staying at a 48V system, you can keep the cost of the electronics way down. There are motor/controller systems that could easily allow a 90+ mph top speed in a streamliner even on such a low voltage. Keeping the car light at under 2,500 lbs, you'd only need ~60 kW peak to accelerate like a low-end ICE car when you consider the torque you'd get from the amount of current needed to achieve that power on 48V as well as a reduced amount of wind resistance slowing down the acceleration as the speed climbs. 0-60 mph ~10-11 seconds would be possible with such a system in a vehicle of the aforementioned mass.

And rolling at 70mph using just kW will be quite an achievement ...to say the least.!

It wouldn't be new or uncharted territory though. There's no shortage of concept cars running on gasoline from the better part of a century ago onto present day that have done just that. The Volkhart V2 Sagitta had a 0.17 drag coefficient in 1943 and could almost reach 100 mph on a bone-stock 1st gen VW Beetle engine. The auto industry has known how to do this for a LONG time.
 
I am wanting whatever Zero is smoking.
People are getting dummer and dummer, they are robots going through the motions.
Population growth is something we need a handle on.
Better planning for wider roads with curbed bike lanes.

ZeroEm said:
What i'm wafting for is for people to realize that growth at some point will end and need to stablize.
 
calab said:
I am wanting whatever Zero is smoking.
People are getting dummer and dummer, they are robots going through the motions.
Population growth is something we need a handle on.
Better planning for wider roads with curbed bike lanes.

ZeroEm said:
What i'm wafting for is for people to realize that growth at some point will end and need to stablize.

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
 
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